Know Your Risk Podcast

July 24, 2026 – Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor break down another unusual week in the markets, discussing why investors continue to shrug off risks that historically would've mattered. They cover market breadth, AI, liquidity, earnings, bonds, commodities, and what today's environment may be telling us about investor psychology.

July 23, 2026 – Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss why rising oil prices, higher Treasury yields, and escalating geopolitical risks are creating a market environment that feels increasingly tilted toward downside risk. They also break down Google, Tesla, AI spending, corporate earnings, and why risk management matters more than chasing the next rally.

July 22, 2026 - Stocks continue to push higher, but other markets aren't telling the same story.In this episode of Know Your Risk, Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss rising Treasury yields, climbing oil prices, AI-driven market leadership, Google and Tesla earnings, and why today's market action may be masking some important underlying divergences. They also explain why fundamentals—not headlines—ultimately determine where markets go.Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30pm PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 21, 2026 - Stocks surged, AI continued to dominate headlines, and investors celebrated another strong day—but beneath the surface, the market may be telling a very different story. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain why the simultaneous move in stocks, oil, interest rates, and the U.S. dollar caught their attention, why AI and software are diverging, and how they're thinking about energy, valuations, and risk as markets continue climbing. Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30pm PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 20, 2026 – Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss one of the biggest disconnects in today's markets: why oil prices remain remarkably calm despite escalating conflict around the Strait of Hormuz. They also break down Tesla's earnings, why markets continue rewarding risk, China's surprising resilience, and what investors should watch if geopolitical risks begin colliding with economic fundamentals.Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30pm PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 17, 2026 – Chase Taylor breaks down another rise in oil prices as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted and the risk of disruption spreads toward the Red Sea. The market appears to assume the United States can de-escalate whenever it chooses—but what happens if Iran decides not to stop? Chase examines the low-probability, high-impact scenario that could send oil sharply higher, along with China’s latest AI breakthrough, weakness in the biggest technology names, a potential turnaround in New Zealand, and why modern warfare is exposing serious flaws in America’s defense strategy.Register Here for Zach...

July 16, 2026 - Markets are pricing the war as though the biggest energy risk is simply whether the Strait of Hormuz opens or closes. Chase Taylor argues that the more dangerous scenario may be lasting damage to refineries, pipelines, export terminals, and other infrastructure that cannot reopen overnight. With semiconductor and memory stocks already experiencing violent drawdowns, leverage is beginning to reveal itself in unexpected places. A sudden energy shock could expose even more of it—spilling into equities, bonds, currencies, inflation, and consumer spending. The question is not whether the worst-case scenario is inevitable. It is whether portfolios are prepared fo...

July 15, 2026 — Is today's market another dot-com bubble, or is something fundamentally different this time? Zach argues that while parts of the market are clearly overheated, many of the underlying businesses are real—and that distinction matters. He explains why volatility may be the price investors pay for long-term opportunity, why relative valuations still matter, and where he believes investors should be looking despite the noise.Register Here for Zach's upcoming "Market Blind Spots" Webinar – July 23rd at 3:30 PM PST:KnowYourRiskPodcast.com

July 14, 2026 - A cooler inflation report gave markets another reason to celebrate—but does it actually solve the bigger problem? Zach and Chase dig into why lower inflation, rising oil prices, housing affordability, tariffs, and Federal Reserve policy may all be pulling in different directions. More importantly, they explore the uncomfortable tradeoffs policymakers face when trying to fix an economy distorted by years of easy money. The conversation ends with a provocative question: What if the solution everyone wants isn't actually the solution the economy needs?

July 13, 2026 - When geopolitical tensions rise, investors instinctively expect one thing: higher oil prices and market turmoil. But markets don't always follow the obvious script. Zach and Chase break down why the latest Middle East developments haven't produced the lasting shock many expected. From the Strait of Hormuz and global energy flows to liquidity, inflation, and market psychology, they explore why markets often price fear differently than headlines suggest.

July 10, 2026 - Markets closed the week with another quiet session, but Chase Taylor argues that the more interesting story isn't what stocks did today—it's how persistent inflation continues to reshape everyday decisions. From AI spending and Meta's capital allocation to an unexpected observation about RVs, Chase explores how people adapt when higher prices become the new normal. Those behavioral shifts may create investment opportunities in places most investors aren't even looking.

July 9, 2026 – AI investment continues to accelerate, but the cost of competing may be rising faster than investors realize. Chase explains why massive AI capital spending is putting pressure on corporate balance sheets, why Oracle's credit downgrade matters, how new equity issuance could affect markets, and what investors should watch next.

July 8, 2026 – Oil is moving again, but Chase explains why crude prices may still be the wrong thing to watch. With gasoline and diesel prices remaining elevated, crack spreads surging, and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalating, the bigger macro risk may be showing up in the products consumers actually use—not the oil headline investors are watching.

July 7, 2026 – Chase breaks down why he believes Wall Street may be getting one of the market's biggest stories wrong. He explains why SpaceX's valuation could face much tougher challenges than investors expect, discusses rising oil prices and the geopolitical risks surrounding global energy markets, and examines China's growing push to build a fully integrated AI ecosystem.

July 6, 2026 – Chase breaks down today's market rally, why the leadership underneath the surface may be more important than the headlines, what Rivian's surprise capital raise could mean for investors, and why software, global markets, and select sectors continue to stand out despite a quiet week for economic data.

July 2, 2026 – The AI story is evolving. Chase explains why the next phase won't be about building the biggest models, but about making AI cheaper, more practical, and commercially viable. He also covers today's market action, software versus semiconductors, Tesla's selloff, and where investors may be rotating next.

July 1, 2026 – You don't have to agree with someone 100% to support them. In this episode, Zach explains why he believes one of the biggest mistakes in today's energy debate is blaming the wrong people for high gasoline prices. He and Chase break down refining capacity, crack spreads, AI infrastructure, Meta's excess compute, and why following the evidence matters more than defending a narrative.

June 30, 2026 – Oil prices have fallen, but gasoline and refined product prices are telling a different story. Chase explains why the market may be focusing too much on crude oil and not enough on refining capacity, crack spreads, China’s role in global product supply, and why lower oil prices may not be enough to bring inflation pressure down for consumers.

June 29, 2026 – Stocks are rallying, oil is falling, and investors are celebrating another ceasefire. But what if the market isn't responding to fundamentals at all? Zach and Chase discuss why today's price action may be driven more by positioning and capital flows than underlying economic reality, why traditional price discovery feels absent, and what that means for investors trying to separate headlines from long-term fundamentals.Do you know how much risk your portfolio is exposed to? How are you positioned for the future? Get all the information you need by getting a free Know Your Risk portfolio review with Bu...

June 26, 2026 – Zach and Chase are joined by Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, for a wide-ranging conversation on the forces shaping the global economy. Brent explains why the U.S. dollar may remain stronger than many investors expect, how AI and capital spending are changing markets, and why today's macro environment demands patience more than prediction. If you want a deeper understanding of currencies, liquidity, and where the global economy could be headed next, this is an episode you won't want to miss.