S1E333 - Firepower Is Not a Strategy
Published: March 19, 2026
Duration: 24:45
Solo analysis from Jacob! Some reflection on being wrong about the Third Gulf War. Jacob outlines why he thought the war wouldn't happen - interceptor shortages, domestic politics, inflation risk, and explains what's shaken his analytical framework: the killing of moderate Iranian leaders, the appointment of a hardline Supreme Leader, the U.S. confusing firepower for strategy, and, of course, allies refusing to cooperate.
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Timestamps:
(00:27) - Why No US Attack
(02:15) - Iran Geography Leverage
(02:56) - US Politics Inflation Risk
(05:19) - Noninterventionist Contradiction
(06:26) - War...