The Cartel Math Isn't Mathing

S1E345 - The Cartel Math Isn't Mathing

Published: June 22, 2026

Duration: 55:34

Jacob Shapiro sits down with Victor Hernandez, a Mexican national security analyst, to stress-test his own optimism about Mexico. Hernandez argues the army now runs eight ministries' budgets, can't out-spy the cartels, and may face limited US drone strikes Mexico has no way to resist. El Mencho's death looks more like an ambush than a victory. Nearshoring pencils out on a spreadsheet - until corruption and parallel taxation eat the margin. A bracing case for what happens if Jacob's wrong.

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Timestamps:

(00:00) - Intro and Framing

(01:29) - Meet Victor Hernandez

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