The Calendar Turns

S10E15 - The Calendar Turns

Published: January 5, 2026

Duration: 6:22

The big things you need to know: First, after updating our models for end of year, we are reiterating our 7,750 12-month S&P 500 price target, noting that the signal from our sentiment model deteriorated since our last update in early December while the signal from our GDP model strengthened. Second, a few things that jumped out in our other updates included the recent divergence in the size and style trades, the S&P 500’s inability to recapture last summer’s peak on the rate of upward EPS estimate revisions, and the latest results of the Duke CFO survey where opti...