This Is the "Polymarket" for Bitcoin Miners

This Is the "Polymarket" for Bitcoin Miners

Published: September 22, 2026

Duration: 41:28

Matteo Spinosa, founder and CEO of Doefin, built the first accessible prediction market for Bitcoin miners to hedge difficulty. Doefin lets miners and traders take a directional view on network hashrate — or lock in revenue certainty before difficulty spikes — using a Polymarket-style venue where price equals probability.


In this episode, Matteo breaks down why Bitcoin miners have historically been unbankable and uninvestable: difficulty volatility has run twice as volatile as the S&P 500, making cash flow impossible to forecast. Doefin gives miners a primitive tool to stabilize revenue, or to speculate on where hashrate is g...