Reuters Morning Bid

In a special midyear edition of Morning Bid, Mike Dolan is joined by Jamie McGeever to look back on a wild first half of 2026, with record highs for the S&P 500 and Dow, the best quarter ever for U.S. chip stocks, and the worst month on record for the Magnificent Seven. Plus, a look ahead to midterm elections, a deeply divided Fed outlook, and what a Supreme Court ruling on Lisa Cook means for the central bank. Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for my newsletter here. S...

Markets reach the halfway point of 2026 with a packed and shortened week, with the June payrolls report moved to Thursday ahead of the July 4 holiday. Chip stocks are sitting on their best quarter on record, but profit-taking, a possible OpenAI IPO delay, and a fresh warning from the Bank for International Settlements about the durability of the AI boom are giving investors pause. Oil markets shrug off a weekend U.S.-Iran exchange after both sides agree to resume talks, and Andy Burnham prepares to make his first major economic address as the UK's widely presumed prime minister-in-waiting. <...

Apple announces price hikes on iPads and MacBooks, blaming surging memory chip costs, sending its stock down six percent. Reports that OpenAI may delay its IPO to 2027 add to nerves around the AI trade. A vessel strike in the Strait of Hormuz briefly rattles oil markets before prices resume their slide. And JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon is reported to be staying on for another three years. Today’s recommended listen: Reuters Econ World - Fed talk Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from...

Micron, one of the world's leading memory stocks, reports earnings roughly $5 billion above expectations and outlines $22 billion in customer commitments, reigniting the chip stock rally worldwide. Meanwhile, crude oil completes a dramatic round trip to pre-Iran-war levels, but two-year Treasury yields remain about 75 basis points higher than before the conflict began, suggesting the Fed's inflation challenge runs deeper than energy prices alone. Today’s recommended read: Iran peace deal no silver bullet for Fed's inflation dilemma, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Rea...

A dramatic selloff in chip stocks has Wall Street asking whether the AI boom is hitting a wall. With rising bets on Fed rate hikes despite Chair Kevin Warsh ditching forward guidance, investors are bracing for more volatility. Today’s recommended read: Fed's bubble blind spot is cause for anxiety, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebas...

On the 10th anniversary of the Brexit vote, UK gilt markets are calm in the face of Keir Starmer's resignation, a signal investors are taking the UK's seventh prime minister in a decade largely in stride - for now. Meanwhile, the threat of a US rate hike hit the biggest tech stocks on Wall Street, including new IPO darling SpaceX. The sell-off was far reaching - Japan's yen hovers near a 40-year low. Today’s recommended read: Revolving-door UK leadership leaves no room for remedy, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and chec...

A 60-day ceasefire framework between the U.S. and Iran gives oil markets some relief, though traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains at roughly a quarter of pre-war levels. As investors continue to measure the heat in the Middle East, over in the UK the resignation of Keir Starmer has been met with a cool reception. Many are waiting to see the details of transition. Meanwhile, the severity of El Niño is raising fresh concerns about food prices and inflation expectations. Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday morning? S...

Doubts emerge over the U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework after a last-minute cancellation of talks leaves oil traders on edge ahead of a long weekend. With U.S. and much of Asian markets closed for holidays, thin liquidity is amplifying price swings. The yen and SpaceX shares are also in focus. Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for my newsletter here. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Pr...

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh makes his debut with a hawkish hold and a notably short statement, wrong-footing markets that had hoped for a softer tone. Meanwhile, details of the U.S.-Iran deal suggest Iran may have come away with more leverage than expected, even as crude prices fall on Hormuz optimism. And a Manchester by-election could determine who becomes Britain's next prime minister. Today’s recommended read: Gulf exporters' quest to bypass Hormuz will reshape the region, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open...

It's Fed day, and Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair, with markets watching for signals on the path ahead. Oil slides below $80 a barrel as details of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding emerge, while SpaceX briefly overtakes Microsoft in market value following its recent IPO. Today’s recommended read: Is the Iran war just an energy shock - or a turning point?, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by El...

The Bank of Japan delivers a widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike, its highest level since 1995, yet the yen fails to rally and traders keep piling on bearish bets. Plus, Nvidia taps the bond market for the first time in five years, and SpaceX shares keep surging after last week's blockbuster IPO. Today’s recommended read: Oil markets bet Trump would chicken out on Iran. They won, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Pro...

A U.S.-Iran peace framework sends oil down around 4% and lifts equity futures, but analysts caution that physical supply disruptions, insurance costs, and unresolved leverage questions mean relief for energy markets could be slow to materialize. The deal lands just as central banks in Washington, Tokyo, and London prepare for a busy week of rate decisions. Today’s recommended read: Fragile Iran deal offers oil relief, but Hormuz risks remain, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Coope...

SpaceX makes its stock market debut after raising $75 billion in the world’s biggest IPO. Friday’s trading will be a key test for the rocket maker and Wall Street. With Anthropic, OpenAI, Alphabet and Meta all eyeing fresh capital raises, the question is whether there is enough demand to cover the supply. Today’s recommended read: Red-hot SpaceX IPO may burn retail buyers, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davi...

The ECB is widely expected to raise rates on Thursday with two more are already priced in for the year. Meanwhile, a fragile calm returns after U.S.-Iran military exchanges shook markets overnight, and Oracle falls 10% after results highlight a heavy debt load. Today’s recommended read: 'Global euro' needs more joint debt to pass muster, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi <p...

Oil rebounds as U.S. and Iran trade fresh strikes. Wall Street braces for a inflation report expected to push the headline rate above 4%. And the SpaceX IPO, a 10-year Treasury auction, and a likely ECB rate hike round out a packed week. Today’s recommended read: Stock-pay boom amplifies US economic drumbeat, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and m...

Dip buyers pile back into chip stocks. China's May exports beat forecasts, fueled by a jump in memory chip prices - raising fresh inflation concerns for the Fed. Plus, OpenAI files confidentially for an IPO targeting a $1 trillion valuation, the third of the mega IPOs expected this summer. Today’s recommended read: Will AI become a public utility?, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelu...

The SpaceX IPO - reported to be more than twice oversubscribed - arrives against a turbulent backdrop, with the chip sector posting its worst single-day drop of the year on Friday. A blowout May payrolls report has markets pricing in nearly two Fed rate hikes within 12 months, defying President Trump's calls for lower rates. And oil surges more than 4% after Israel and Iran trade missile strikes, adding fresh heat to the inflation outlook. Today’s recommended site: Reuters Open Interest Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Inter...

The U.S. jobs report is expected to show 85,000 positions added in May and unemployment holding at 4.3%, as economists describe the labor market as a "low hire, low fire stalemate." Meanwhile, Broadcom's AI chip miss sends South Korean stocks toward their worst week since March and Blackstone caps withdrawals from its flagship private credit fund after redemptions top $4.5 billion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Broadcom's rare earnings miss sends shares down more than 10% after hours, rattling a chip sector priced for perfection. Strong U.S. jobs and activity data push markets to price in nearly a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike as soon as October, while the yen slides to its weakest against the dollar since July 2024. Today’s recommended read: First goes the Fed dot, then guidance - and then a hike?, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna...

Microsoft says its new quantum computing chip is a thousand times more powerful than its predecessor and that a commercially viable machine could arrive by 2029 - claims scientists are calling wildly optimistic. Meanwhile, fighting resumes in the Gulf despite a technical ceasefire, alarming energy markets. And U.S. job openings surge well beyond expectations in April. Today’s recommended read: Wild stock moves beneath an eerily calm surface, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski...